The contribution of respiratory pathogens to fatal and non-fatal respiratory hospitalizations: a pilot study of Taqman Array Cards (TAC) in Kenya

Respiratory illnesses associated with bacteria, fungi or viral infections cause substantial morbidity worldwide. Specific etiology cannot be distinguished on basis of clinical presentation alone. Understanding the relative contribution of different pathogens to severe respiratory illnesses could be an important tool to inform and prioritize specific clinical interventions or public health policies. Nonetheless, testing for all of the different pathogens that are potentially associated with respiratory illnesses is challenging.

Molecular-based multi-pathogen diagnostic tests such as Taqman Array cards (TAC) may offer some resolution to the diagnostic challenges of respiratory illnesses, especially in the setting of outbreaks of unknown etiology. These tests are capable of detecting a broad range of pathogens by multiplexing polymerase chain reaction (PCR), and have a short turn-around-time of approximately 3 h [1]. We piloted the use of respiratory TAC to identify pathogens in nasopharyngeal (NP) and oropharyngeal (OP) specimens collected from hospitalized patients with respiratory illness (fatal and non-fatal cases) and corresponding matched asymptomatic controls. The hypothesis was that as we moved through the spectrum of disease severity (from asymptomatic to fatal cases), we would see changes in the types and frequency of pathogens detected that could assist with interpretation of disease etiology.

There were equal number of fatal and non-fatal cases and matched controls (n = 72 each). Of the total study-patients (n = 216), 102 (47%) were aged <5 years and 114 (53%) were ≥5 years. For each age category, the median age was 1.5 years (range 3 - 59 months) for those <5 years and 36 years (range 5 - 90 years) for those ≥5 years. Among non-fatal cases, 61 (85%) presented with cough, 40 (56%) with difficulty in breathing, 17 (24%) with chest pain and 10 (29%) with sore throat (these symptoms were not mutually exclusive). Among fatal cases, 63 (88%) presented with cough, 45 (63%) with difficulty in breathing, 19 (26%) with chest pain, and 13 (41%) with sore throat.

Using TAC, we detected at least one pathogen from 109/144 (77%) cases. There was no difference in pathogen distribution among non-fatal and fatal cases based on the presenting symptoms. Overall, among all cases, there was a higher percent of viral co-detection (11% had 2 viruses and 6% had ≥3 viruses detected) compared to bacteria co-detection (7% had 2 bacteria detected and 1% had ≥3 bacteria detected). There were more viral co-detections among non-fatal cases, with 6(8%) having ≥3 viruses detected compared to 3(4%) among fatal cases; but total number of detected pathogens were similar in the two groups (n = 54 vs n = 55 among non-fatal and fatal cases respectively). Children <5 years had a higher percent of pathogens detected than those ≥5 years: 100% vs 52% among non-fatal, and 88% vs 66% among fatal cases, respectively (Additional file 1: Table S1). We detected at least one pathogen from 59/72 (82%) asymptomatic controls with higher co-detection of bacteria (44% had 2 bacteria) compared to viruses (15% had 2 viruses). Only 4/72 (6%) asymptomatic controls developed an illness after sample collection. One developed respiratory symptoms 6 days after being swabbed (originally had rhinovirus detected in the study sample); one developed fever 3 days after being swabbed (had no pathogens detected); one developed unspecified non-respiratory symptoms 3 days after sample collection (had enterovirus, Haemophilus influenzae and S. pneumoniae detected in the study sample); and one developed respiratory symptoms 1 day after the NP/OP sample being collection (had no pathogens detected).

Enterovirus/rhinoviruses were the most commonly detected viruses: 40% among non-fatal cases, 46% among fatal cases and 39% among asymptomatic controls (Additional file 1: Table S1). There was no difference in enterovirus/rhinovirus detection between non-fatal and asymptomatic controls (p = 0.87) and fatal and asymptomatic controls (p = 0.40). The most commonly detected bacteria was S. pneumoniae: 57% among non-fatal cases, 61% among fatal cases and 58% among asymptomatic controls. There was no difference in S.pneumoniae detection between non-fatal and asymptomatic controls (p = 0.09) and fatal and asymptomatic controls (p = 0.08) (Fig. 1). H. influenzae were less likely to be detected among non-fatal cases (OR 0.08, 95% CI 0.02-0.25) and fatal cases (OR 0.05, 95% CI 0.12-0.22) compared to their respective asymptomatic controls (Additional file 1: Table S2). However, for almost all more frequently detected pathogens (i.e., adenovirus, PIV-3, RSV, enterovirus/rhinovirus, Streptococcus pneumoniae, and Haemophilus influenzae), median Ct values were lower for cases (fatal and non-fatal) than controls, though these differences were not statistically significant (Fig. 2). Enterovirus/rhinovirus had significantly lower median Ct values among fatal cases compared to asymptomatic controls (p < 0.01); and S. pneumoniae, had significantly lower Ct values among non-fatal cases compare to asymptomatic controls (p < 0.01).

We detected multiple pathogens in NP/OP specimens collected among non-fatal and fatal cases and asymptomatic controls. Careful interpretation of results is needed since over 80% of participants enrolled as asymptomatic controls had at least one pathogen identified. Ct values may play an important role when assessing etiological role of pathogens detected in similar rates among cases and controls.

Enterovirus/rhinovirus, RSV and adenovirus were the leading viral pathogens detected from non-fatal and fatal cases, similar to previous reports [4, 8, 9]. S. pneumoniae was the leading bacterial pathogen detected in both non-fatal and fatal cases (60%). These rates were within the range observed from other studies, i.e., 55-75% [8, 10]. We did not find substantial differences in pathogen detection in cases (fatal and non-fatal) compared to controls. Other studies have shown pathogens such as influenza virus, RSV, rhinovirus, HMPV and Streptococcus pneumoniae being detected more frequently in cases compared to asymptomatic controls [9, 11, 12]. In fact, in our study, H. influenzae had a 5 fold increase in detection rates among asymptomatic controls compared to cases – even considering bacteria carriage as common in the population, this may need further investigation. The 14 day symptom-free period required for controls could have been too short, some patients may be convalescent, coming for drug refills. On the other hand, cases could have the distribution of bacterial pathogens in the respiratory tract altered by previous antibiotic treatment [13].

Despite the lack of statistical significance, the median Ct values for adenovirus, PIV-3, RSV, enterovirus/rhinovirus, Streptococcus pneumonia, and Haemophilus influenzae were lower among cases (fatal and non-fatal) compared to asymptomatic controls; this could suggest an etiologic contribution to the clinical presentation. Previous studies have demonstrated that Ct values could be a proxy for assessing concentration of pathogens and lower values have been associated with disease severity [7]. Both fatal and non-fatal cases positive for enterovirus/rhinovirus and S. pneumoniae had significantly lower median Ct values than asymptomatic controls. Assuming that Ct values could be a proxy for pathogen density, enterovirus/rhinovirus and S. pneumoniae could have played a role in the pathogenesis of respiratory illness among case-patients. High density of S. pneumoniae in the nasopharynx, for instance, has been associated with pneumonia [14]. For future studies using multi-pathogen diagnostic platform, the strength of association between pathogen detected with respiratory illness may have to be assessed relative to pathogen loads in order to infer etiology.

There were a number of limitations to this study. NP/OP swabs are non-sterile-site specimens. Using a highly sensitive molecular technique on non-sterile specimens can detect small amounts of nucleic material even in asymptomatic individuals who are either incubating or recovering from infection [15]. Our case definition was quite broad. It is possible that some patients presented with other illnesses such as malaria (endemic in this area) or with nonspecific respiratory symptoms were misclassified as having a respiratory disease. This may have reduced the chances of detecting respiratory disease pathogens among the cases. The low sample size in our study does not afford the statistical power needed to determine an association between most pathogens detected and respiratory disease, despite the trend toward some pathogens of lower Ct values (i.e., high concentration) amongst non-fatal and fatal cases compared to controls.

Multi-pathogen molecular diagnostics such as TAC can be useful for investigation of respiratory outbreaks of unknown origin and to assess the distribution of pathogens in a defined population. However, the attribution of pathogens as a cause of respiratory disease using this technology needs to be further evaluated. This study supports previous published studies suggesting the use of Ct values to define clinically relevant pathogen concentrations. Further studies are warranted to investigate and establish appropriate pathogen-specific Ct cutoff values indicative of disease.