Table 1 The fitting RMSEs, the fitting MAPEs, the forecast RMSEs, and the forecast MAPEs from models (with raw data from 2013 to 2018)
| Â | Model | SARIMA | Holt-Winters | NNAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Fitting with raw data from 2013 to 2018 | RMSE | 206.23 | 198.63 | 189.58 |
MAPE | 6.03% | 6.62% | 6.26% | |
Forecasts from Jan. to Dec. 2019 | RMSE | 169.24 | 165.99 | 172.36 |
MAPE | 5.46% | 5.44% | 5.32% | |
Forecasts from Jan. to Nov. 2019 | RMSE | 114.37 | 115.59 | 123.28 |
MAPE | 3.80% | 3.87% | 3.71% |