Table 2 The parameter values and initial values are obtained by fitting weekly confirmed cases of Mpox in Canada using the MCMC
Parameter | Mean value | Std | 95% CI | Reference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
\(\beta_{h}\)(Phase 1) | 0.4149 | 0.2716 | [0.0161, 0.9184] | MCMC |
\(\beta_{h}\)(Phase 2) | 0.2333 | 0.1556 | [0.0133, 0.6116] | MCMC |
\(\beta_{h}\)(Phase 3) | 0.2153 | 0.0851 | [0.0925, 0.4473] | MCMC |
\(\beta_{h}\)(Phase 4) | 0.1432 | 0.0543 | [0.0741, 0.2726] | MCMC |
\(\beta_{h}\)(Phase 5) | 0.0835 | 0.0639 | [0.0125, 0.2343] | MCMC |
\(c_{hh}\)(Phase 1) | 0.6305 | 0.2490 | [0.0780, 0.9834] | MCMC |
\(c_{hh}\)(Phase 2) | 0.3693 | 0.2997 | [0.0155, 0.9750] | MCMC |
\(c_{hh}\)(Phase 3) | 0.3967 | 0.2396 | [0.0224, 0.8966] | MCMC |
\(c_{hh}\)(Phase 4) | 0.3545 | 0.2727 | [0.0151, 0.9478] | MCMC |
\(c_{hh}\)(Phase 5) | 0.2715 | 0.2331 | [0.0097, 0.8877] | MCMC |
\(c_{lh}\)(Phase 1) | 0.2165 | 0.1238 | [0.0181, 0.4706] | MCMC |
\(c_{lh}\)(Phase 2) | 0.0639 | 0.0518 | [0.0029, 0.2074] | MCMC |
\(c_{lh}\)(Phase 3) | 0.5406 | 0.2394 | [0.0814, 0.9274] | MCMC |
\(c_{lh}\)(Phase 4) | 0.3886 | 0.2546 | [0.0170, 0.9473] | MCMC |
\(c_{lh}\)(Phase 5) | 0.2285 | 0.2082 | [0.0093, 0.7471] | MCMC |
\(\xi_{1}\) | 0.3772 | 0.2546 | [0.0180, 0.9088] | MCMC |
\(\beta_{ah1}\) | 0.3242 | 0.2487 | [0.0221, 0.8961] | MCMC |
\(\beta_{ah2}\) | 0.2592 | 0.2180 | [0.0106, 0.7817] | MCMC |
\(E^{h1} \left( 0 \right)\) | 21 | 15 | [0.7149, 53.1491] | MCMC |
\(I^{h1} \left( 0 \right)\) | 4 | 2 | [0.1445, 8.4714] | MCMC |
\(E^{h2} \left( 0 \right)\) | 51 | 23 | [4.7388, 91.9819] | MCMC |
\(I^{h2} \left( 0 \right)\) | 4 | 3 | [0.1767, 9.0356] | MCMC |
\(E^{a} \left( 0 \right)\) | 30 | 22 | [1.6413, 75.9028] | MCMC |
\(I^{a} \left( 0 \right)\) | 6 | 4 | [0.2387, 18.3195] | MCMC |