Fig. 3
From: Predicting subnational incidence of COVID-19 cases and deaths in EU countries
Comparison of one-, two-, three- and four-week-ahead death forecasts (rows, top to bottom) for Italy, Czechia and France (columns, left to right) from our model (Endemic-Epidemic (EE) model) with ensemble forecasts from the European COVID-19 Forecast Hub (ensemble) and observed deaths (data) for a calibration period from 29th October 2022 to 22nd April 2023. The gaps in the European COVID-19 Forecasts Hub forecasts correspond to periods in which no ensemble forecasts were produced. Dashed lines show median forecasts, shaded regions the 95% prediction interval for the forecasts