Table 4 Posterior odds ratios (ORs) and 95% Bayesian credible intervals (BCIs) estimated by multivariate geostatistical logistic regression models fitted to MIS 2014 and 2017/2018 data from Burkina Faso

LST night

0.72 (0.64–0.93)^a

0.89 (0.81–0.96)^a

Night light

0.47 (0.38–0.59)^a

0.49 (0.37–0.64)^a

Distance to permanent water body

0.83 (0.72–0.94)^a

0.71 (0.57–0.85)^a

Altitude^*

 [201–307 m]

 [307–545 m]

1.00

0.72 (0.51–0.96)^a

-

Proportion of households with at least one ITN for every two people (ITN ownership)

1.06 (0.24–1.48)

1.04 (0.86–1.20)

Proportion of children who slept under ITN (ITN use)

-

0.82 (0.70–0.96)^a

ACTs

-

1.22 (0.93–1.40)

Spatial parameters

Spatial variance

0.41 (0.19–0.71)

0.32 (0.15–0.61)

Non spatial variance

0.31 (0.16–0.49)

0.29 (0.14–0.48)

Range (km)

129.4 (57.1-367.5)

303.7 (189.2-371.1)