Skip to main content

Table 3 Posterior odds ratios (ORs) and 95% Bayesian credible intervals (BCIs) estimated by bivariate geostatistical logistic regression models, fitted to MIS 2014 and 2017/2018 data from Burkina Faso

From: Relative effects of climate factors and malaria control interventions on changes of parasitaemia risk in Burkina Faso from 2014 to 2017/2018

Predictor

MIS 2014

OR (95% BCI)

MIS 2017/2018

OR (95% BCI)

Proportion of households with at least one ITN for every two people (ITN ownership)

0.72 (0.60–0.85)a

0.85 (0.72–0.94)a

Proportion of children who slept under an ITN (ITN use)

1.06 (0.85–1.32)

0.86 (0.70–0.94)a

ACTs

0.87 (0.75–1.01)

0.84( 0.72–0.98)a

Proportion of households with at least one ITN and/or IRS

1.31 (0.93–1.86)

0.72 (0.16–1.30)

LST day

0.73 (0.59–1.12)

0.76 (0.63–1.09)

LST night

0.58 (0.48–0.69)a

0.83 (0.70–0.97)a

Rainfall

1.02 (0.85–1.21)

1.03 (0.80–1.30)

Night lights

0.43 (0.35–0.53)a

0.52 (0.41–0.66)a

Altitude*

 

0.98 (0.82–1.16)

 [201–307 m]

 [307–545 m]

1.00

0.72 (0.51–0.96)a

1.00

0.97 (0.82–1.16)

Crop coverage

0.69 (0.58–1.20)

0.89 (0.72–1.11)

Distance to permanent water

0.87 (0.75–0.99)a

0.79 (0.63–0.97)a

  1. a Statistically important effect, * The cutoffs are based on the tertiles of the distribution of altitude at the surveys locations, ITN, insecticide-treated net; ACT: artemisinin-based combination therapy, LST: land surface temperature