Table 2 Accuracy evaluation metrics of ARIMA models for forecasting Monkeypox cases
Cases | Country | Model fitting | Â | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
ME | RMSE | MAE | MAPE | ||
Confirmed | United States | 1.0837 | 160.8289 | 93.6989 | 0.8021 |
Brazil | 0.6142 | 52.8620 | 32.3485 | 1.1673 | |
Spain | -0.0148 | 80.7937 | 43.7184 | 1.5725 | |
France | -0.0025 | 53.1115 | 23.8431 | 2.4846 | |
Colombia | 0.0969 | 16.7897 | 11.1099 | 0.8945 | |
Mexico | -0.0376 | 14.2295 | 9.2355 | 0.8129 | |
Peru | 0.8109 | 27.1984 | 17.0360 | 0.9097 | |
United Kingdom | 0.5683 | 47.8629 | 30.2068 | 1.1890 | |
Germany | 0.0949 | 21.2443 | 12.2563 | 1.3640 | |
Canada | 1.2181 | 19.0702 | 13.9751 | 1.1023 | |
Cumulative | United States | 1.0546 | 160.8288 | 93.6859 | 1.7463 |
Brazil | 0.6121 | 52.8620 | 32.3425 | 1.8743 | |
Spain | 0.7233 | 80.7973 | 43.5809 | 2.2172 | |
France | 0.0659 | 55.0058 | 24.8170 | 1.8706 | |
Colombia | 0.0835 | 16.7879 | 11.1024 | 1.3917 | |
Mexico | -0.0418 | 14.2278 | 9.2216 | 1.0140 | |
Peru | 0.7166 | 27.1835 | 17.0301 | 1.6954 | |
United Kingdom | 0.4919 | 47.8497 | 30.2065 | 1.7379 | |
Germany | 0.0792 | 21.2429 | 12.2499 | 1.4778 | |
Canada | 1.2083 | 19.0657 | 13.9674 | 1.5947 | |