Table 1 Estimation of optimal parameters for the best fitted ARIMA model Parameters and AICs of the ARIMA models for 8 countries
Country | Confirmed Cases | Cumulative Cases | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Model Structure | AICc | BIC | Model Structure | AICc | BIC | |
United States | (0,1,1) | 2956.78 | 2963.58 | (0,2,1) | 2944.78 | 2951.57 |
Brazil | (3,1,1) | 2459.14 | 2476.00 | (3,2,1) | 2449.36 | 2466.19 |
Spain | (5,1,5) | 2666.81 | 2706.45 | (5,2,5) | 2653.98 | 2690.37 |
France | (5,1,5) | 2475.54 | 2511.99 | (3,2,4) | 2475.18 | 2501.88 |
Colombia | (2,1,3) | 1941.21 | 1961.38 | (2,2,3) | 1933.68 | 1953.82 |
Mexico | (4,1,5) | 1874.28 | 1907.52 | (4,2,5) | 1867.08 | 1900.27 |
Peru | (1,1,2) | 2154.99 | 2168.51 | (1,2,2) | 2146.31 | 2159.81 |
United Kingdom | (1,1,1) | 2408.85 | 2419.02 | (1,2,1) | 2399.16 | 2409.31 |
Germany | (2,1,1) | 2042.54 | 2056.06 | (2,2,1) | 2034.56 | 2048.06 |
Canada | (2,1,1) | 1993.57 | 2007.09 | (2,2,1) | 1985.74 | 1999.24 |