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Fig. 4 | BMC Infectious Diseases

Fig. 4

From: Projecting the development of antimicrobial resistance in Neisseria gonorrhoeae from antimicrobial surveillance data: a mathematical modelling study

Fig. 4

Probability of ceftriaxone resistance and observed and modelled MIC drift. (A) Projected probability that ceftriaxone resistance will reach 5% over the period 2000–2030 in heterosexual men and women (HMW) and men who have sex with men (MSM), according to the single-step or the multi-step model. (B) MIC data for ceftriaxone from the Gonococcal Resistance to Antimicrobials Surveillance Programme (GRASP) (18) over 2000–2018. (C) Fit of the multi-step model to MIC data for ceftriaxone. The lines correspond to median projection and the shaded areas to 95% prediction intervals. Circles correspond to GRASP MIC data

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