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Table 4 Model parameter estimation of the subsequences

From: Study on the prediction effect of a combined model of SARIMA and LSTM based on SSA for influenza in Shanxi Province, China

Model

Parameter estimate

Fitting index

AR1

AR2

MA1

MA2

SAR1

SAR2

AIC

BIC

SARIMA (2,2,0) (0,0,0)52

0.290*

 − 0.035*

–

–

–

–

 − 5640.532

 − 5628.112

SARIMA (2,0,2) (0,1,0)52

1.936*

 − 0.976*

0.878*

0.732*

–

–

 − 3091.174

 − 3071.056

SARIMA (2,0,2) (2,0,0)52

1.710*

 − 0.896*

 − 1.983

1.000

 − 0.144*

 − 0.054

 − 201.267

 − 174.026

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BMC Infectious Diseases

ISSN: 1471-2334

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