Table 1 Predicted monthly PTB incidence in 2020 and 2021 under the presence or absence of a persistent intervention
| Â | Observed incidence | No intervention (95% CI) | Strict intervention (95% CI) | Regular intervention (95% CI) | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Month | 2020 | 2020 | 2021 | 2020 | 2021 | 2021 |
1 | 4.834 | 5.650 (4.649, 6.650) | 5.261 (3.974, 6.548) | Â | 4.127 (2.869, 5.385) | 4.707 (3.677, 5.738) |
2 | 3.209 | 4.857 (3.856, 5.858) | 4.525 (3.224, 5.826) | Â | 3.093 (1.809, 4.378) | 3.649 (2.613, 4.684) |
3 | 5.245 | 6.825 (5.798, 7.851) | 6.477 (5.150, 7.805) | Â | 5.073 (3.762, 6.383) | 5.635 (4.568, 6.702) |
4 | 6.120 | 6.534 (5.492, 7.575) | 6.195 (4.844, 7.547) | Â | 5.212 (3.877, 6.548) | 5.770 (4.679, 6.861) |
5 | 5.956 | 6.394 (5.335, 7.453) | 6.052 (4.677, 7.427) | 5.475 (4.431, 6.520) | 4.885 (3.405, 6.365) | 5.617 (4.501, 6.733) |
6 | 6.068 | 6.169 (5.093, 7.244) | 5.833 (4.435, 7.231) | 5.370 (4.322, 6.419) | 4.707 (3.199, 6.215) | 5.515 (4.375, 6.656) |
7 | 5.936 | 6.054 (4.962, 7.146) | 5.715 (4.294, 7.135) | 5.224 (4.135, 6.312) | 4.578 (3.027, 6.130) | 5.393 (4.229, 6.557) |
8 | 5.459 | 5.794 (4.686, 6.902) | 5.450 (4.007, 6.893) | 4.957 (3.840, 6.075) | 4.313 (2.723, 5.904) | 5.053 (3.865, 6.240) |
9 | 5.386 | 5.449 (4.326, 6.573) | 5.106 (3.641, 6.572) | 4.615 (3.467, 5.762) | 3.970 (2.341, 5.599) | 4.807 (3.596, 6.017) |
10 | 4.846 | 4.983 (3.844, 6.123) | 4.641 (3.154, 6.128) | 4.149 (2.973, 5.325) | 3.504 (1.837, 5.171) | 4.313 (3.080, 5.546) |
11 | 4.974 | 5.127 (3.972, 6.282) | 4.781 (3.273, 6.290) | 4.285 (3.081, 5.489) | 3.643 (1.939, 5.347) | 4.450 (3.195, 5.705) |
12 | 4.578 | 5.023 (3.853, 6.193) | 4.677 (3.147, 6.206) | 4.183 (2.951, 5.414) | 3.540 (1.800, 5.280) | 4.243 (2.966, 5.520) |