Fig. 4

Country-wide SARS-CoV-2 infections per 100,000 people and seven days (denoted: incidence) with the strongest mitigation strategy. Results after 30 days (orange) and after 60 days (green) with the initial setting shown by the blue curve. The p25 and p75 percentiles for 500 Monte Carlo runs and 30 and 60 days of simulation, respectively, are shown by dashed lines in the same color