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Table 6 Estimates of unobserved index cases with infected contacts, population size and 95% CI (n = 30) for the three approaches (based upon the Poisson model)

From: Sensitivity of contact-tracing for COVID-19 in Thailand: a capture-recapture application

Estimators

\({\hat{f}}_0\)

\({\hat{N}}\)

BT median

95% CI

CI from percentile BT

MLE

14.37

44.38

45.51

36.62–54.40

33.87–64.17

Turing

14.12

44.12

45.47

36.01–54.94

33.29–64.63

Chao

14.22

44.22

45.5

33.21 \(-\)57.79

31.64–77.40

  1. Fifth and sixth column show bootstrap CI by the normal approximation and percentile methods, respectively