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Table 1 Estimates of the absolute number and % of viraemic HCV individuals in Italy according to fibrosis stage and macro area

From: A mathematical model by route of transmission and fibrosis progression to estimate undiagnosed individuals with HCV in different Italian regions

Macroarea/fibrosis stage

Absolute number and 95% CI

Prevalence (%) and 95% CI (%)

Proportion (%)

Total

409,184 (325,007–494,591)

0.68 (0.54–0.82)

 

 Total F0–F3

300,171 (239,306–365,317)

0.50 (0.4–0.6)

100

 Total F4

109,012 (84,886–135,012)

0.18 (0.14–0.22)

100

Macro regions

   

 North

   

  F0–F3

126,376 (100,711–153,938)

0.45 (0.36–0.55)

42.1

  F4

27,999 (20,654–35,542)

0.10 (0.07–0.13)

25.7

 Central

   

  F0–F3

72,453 (57,742–88,048)

0.61 (0.48–0.74)

24.1

  F4

34,637 (27,160–42,360)

0.29 (0.23–0.35)

31.8

 South

   

  F0–F3

69,540 (55,450–84,629)

0.50 (0.4–0.61)

23.2

  F4

33,799 (26,606–41,515)

0.24 (0.19–0.3)

31.0

 Isles

   

  F0–F3

31,802 (25,304–38,522)

0.49 (0.39–0.59)

10.6

  F4

12,578 (9,809–15,614)

0.19 (0.15–0.24)

11.5

  1. Fibrosis stages: F0–F3 = asymptomatic; undiagnosed/unlinked to care and F4 = symptomatic; potentially linked to care and cure
  2. CI confidence intervals