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Table 5 The percentage of human isolates attributed to ruminants, broilers, layers, pigs, and other unsampled sources with 95% credible intervals for models without covariates or temporal variation

From: Source attribution of salmonellosis by time and geography in New South Wales, Australia

 

Ruminants

Broilers

Layers

Pigs

Unsampled

Equal-\(q\)

     

without unsampled source

41.3 (21.0–58.7)

0.02 (0.0–0.05)

56.9 (39.1–74.2)

1.8 (0.0–8.3)

–

with unsampled source

36.0 (16.9–55.5)

0.01 (0.0–0.03)

57.7 (39.7–74.0)

0.4 (0.0–3.1)

5.8 (0.0–10.7)

Variable-\(q\)

     

without unsampled source

24.7 (0.0–55.8)

13.1 (0.0–44.9)

44.3 (9.8–76.7)

17.8 (0.0–39.1)

–

with unsampled source

10.5 (0.0–34.8)

18.2 (0.0–66.1)

48.4 (5.4–79.6)

12.1 (0.0–31.8)

11.3 (1.2–22.1)

  1. In the equal-\(q\) model all Salmonella serotypes are assumed to be equally efficient in their ability to cause infection in humans, while in the variable-\(q\) model (equivalent to the modified Hald model [20]) serotypes are allowed to differ in their efficiency