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Table 2 Incidence rate ratios for COVID-19 derived from negative binomial regression showing both unadjusted and multivariable-adjusted analyses comparing days where wind speed < 8.85 KPH to days with ≥ 8.85 KPH wind speeds from March 16th–December 31st, 2020

From: A wind speed threshold for increased outdoor transmission of coronavirus: an ecological study

 

Unadjusted

Multivariable adjusted

Variable

IRR [95% C.I.]

aIRR [95% C.I.]

Wind speed < 8.85 KPH when temperature 16–28 °C

4.09 [3.16–5.28]

P < 0.001

1.45 [1.28–1.64]

P < 0.001

Wind speed < 8.85 KPH when temperature ≤ 15 or ≥ 29 °C

1.45 [1.04–2.03]

P = 0.029

1.03 [0.88–1.20]

P = 0.717

Maximal exterior temperature, °C

 

0.99 [0.99–1.00]

P = 0.021

Days since lockdown

 

0.94 [0.93–0.96]

P < 0.001

Days since reopening

 

1.07 [1.05–1.09]

P < 0.001

Holiday adjustment

 

1.12 [0.94–1.34]

P = 0.208

Snowfall, mm

 

0.93 [0.82–1.06]

P = 0.274

Rainfall, mm

 

1.02 [0.88–1.20]

P = 0.774

Eight-day forward/backward moving average

 

1.21 [1.19–1.24]

P < 0.001

α

1.02 [0.88–1.17]

0.16 [0.13–0.19]

  1. *KPH: kilometers per hour; °C: degrees Celsius; IRR: incidence rate ratio; 95% C.I.: 95% confidence interval. All models adjust for day of the week in which cases were reported and for the size of the county population adjusted for reductions due to individuals who had died or become immune due to COVID-19 during the period of observation. α is a measure of dispersion. P-values derived from Student’s T test