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Table 2 Incidence of CHIKF among children < 16 years in Ngerenya and Pingilikani

From: Endemic chikungunya fever in Kenyan children: a prospective cohort study

 

Ngerenya

(N = 73,028 pyo)

Pingilikani

(N = 63,481 pyo)

 

Incidence (95% CI)

IRRs (95% CI)

Incidence (95% CI)

IRRs (95% CI)

Overall incidence

336 (296,381)

–

288 (248,333)

–

Year

 2014

–

–

536 (418,676)

Ref

 2015

79 (41,138)

Ref

348 (255,464)

0.65 (0.45, 0.94)

 2016

920 (774,1086)

11.58 (6.42, 20.89)

274 (192,380)

0.51 (0.34, 0.77)

 2017

514 (406,642)

6.47 (3.52, 11.88)

122 (69,198)

0.23 (0.13, 0.39)

 2018

127 (72,207)

1.60 (0.76, 3.39)

129 (70,216)

0.24 (0.14, 0.43)

Sex

 Female

320 (265,384)

Ref

331 (270,401)

Ref

 Male

352 (294,418)

1.10 (0.86, 1.41)

245 (194,306)

0.74 (0.55, 0.99)

Age (years)

 < 1

1363 (1030,1770)

Ref

979 (674,1375)

Ref

 1 to < 5

658 (549,783)

0.48 (0.35, 0.66)

509 (406,629)

0.52 (0.35, 0.78)

 5 to < 10

221 (166,288)

0.16 (0.11, 0.24)

208 (151,280)

0.21 (0.14, 0.33)

 10 to 15

35 (16,67)

0.03 (0.01, 0.05)

93 (58,143)

0.10 (0.06, 0.17)

Distance from dispensary (Km)

 < 1

881 (599,1251)

Ref

1037 (677,1519)

Ref

 1 to < 2

636 (483,822)

0.72 (0.47, 1.12)

855 (605,1173)

0.82 (0.50, 1.36)

 2 to < 3

456 (353,580)

0.52 (0.34, 0.79)

883 (700,1099)

0.85 (0.55, 1.33)

 3 to < 4

376 (277,498)

0.43 (0.27, 0.67)

207 (116,343)

0.20 (0.11, 0.38)

 4 to < 5

181 (120,261)

0.21 (0.12, 0.34)

148 (81,249)

0.14 (0.07, 0.27)

 5 to < 6

84 (47,139)

0.10 (0.05, 0.18)

32 (15,59)

0.03 (0.02, 0.06)

Season

 Jan - Mar

459 (368,566)

Ref

273 (199,365)

Ref

 Apr - Jun

350 (271,445)

0.76 (0.55, 1.05)

433 (338,546)

1.59 (1.09, 2.30)

 Jul - Sep

276 (206,362)

0.60 (0.43, 0.85)

281 (205,374)

1.03 (0.68, 1.55)

 Oct - Dec

249 (179,338)

0.54 (0.37, 0.79)

147 (91,225)

0.54 (0.32, 0.91)

  1. *Ref – comparator group