Table 3 Calibrated values for the infection probability α1 and α2 for different detection probabilities θ
From: Evaluation of undetected cases during the COVID-19 epidemic in Austria
|  | θ = 0.1 | θ = 0.2 | θ = 0.3 | θ = 0.4 | θ = 0.5 | θ = 0.6 | θ = 0.7 | θ = 0.8 | θ = 0.9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Infection probability before peak α1 | 5.960% | 5.862% | 5.840% | 5.840% | 5.850% | 5.960% | 6.030% | 6.032% | 6.047% |
Infection probability after peak α2 | 5.215% | 4.502% | 4.526% | 4.830% | 5.148% | 5.394% | 5.729% | 6.394% | 6.555% |
Observed detection rate Ï‘ | 0.09 | 0.18 | 0.27 | 0.37 | 0.45 | 0.55 | 0.63 | 0.70 | 0.75 |