Skip to main content

Table 3 Calibrated values for the infection probability α1 and α2 for different detection probabilities θ

From: Evaluation of undetected cases during the COVID-19 epidemic in Austria

  θ = 0.1 θ = 0.2 θ = 0.3 θ = 0.4 θ = 0.5 θ = 0.6 θ = 0.7 θ = 0.8 θ = 0.9
Infection probability before peak α1 5.960% 5.862% 5.840% 5.840% 5.850% 5.960% 6.030% 6.032% 6.047%
Infection probability after peak α2 5.215% 4.502% 4.526% 4.830% 5.148% 5.394% 5.729% 6.394% 6.555%
Observed detection rate ϑ 0.09 0.18 0.27 0.37 0.45 0.55 0.63 0.70 0.75
  1. Each parameter value triple (θ, α1, α2) is specified to lead to the same curve for the confirmed infected individuals. The row ϑ displays the actual detection rate evaluated by (3) at the end of the simulation