Fig. 5
From: Modelling and predicting the spatio-temporal spread of COVID-19 in Italy
Fitted means of the three submodels for the selected provinces between 26 February 2020 and 31 May 2020. The vertical axis represents the daily number of infections and the horizontal axis represents the time in days. The dots represent the observed daily counts. The blue area represents the within-epidemic component. The orange area represents the between-epidemic component. The gray area represents the endemic component