Skip to main content

Table 1 Data sources and parameters regarding cytomegalovirus infection during pregnancy, potential screening tests and hygiene measures

From: Hygiene promotion might be better than serological screening to deal with Cytomegalovirus infection during pregnancy: a methodological appraisal and decision analysis

Parameter

Sources

Best estimate

Min-Max

Comments

Sero-prevalence in 15–49 years-old women

[97]

45.6%

25.2–61.0%

Robust French representative survey

Incidence of MPI

 

1.0%

0.2–1.4%

Mean incidence and mean of CI lower and higher limits (expert consensus)

Transmission rate from mother to foetus

[19, 36, 53, 84, 87, 98,99,100]

40.0%

5.0–72.2%

Mean transmission rates and CI lower and higher limits from studies reporting rates by trimester of pregnancy

Transmission rate from mother to foetus (1st trimester)

[39, 88, 98, 101]

19%

NA

Mean incidence (expert consensus); screening scenario only

Transmission rate from mother to foetus (2nd trimester)

[39, 88, 98, 101]

36%

NA

Mean incidence (expert consensus); screening scenario only

Transmission rate after reinfectionb

[42, 102,103,104]

  

Unknown; assumed equal to transmission after MPI

Proportion of infected newborns who are symptom free

[2, 4, 105, 106]

87.3%

Min: 75.0%

Stable across studies

Proportion of medical TOP among MPI or infected foetus

[2, 4, 20, 23, 25, 39, 41, 43, 74, 88, 89, 105, 107,108,109,110,111,112,113,114,115,116,117,118,119,120]

9.2%

NA

Data from National Reference Laboratory and literature

Proportion of medical TOP after screening

[85, 103]

95.0%

NA

Foetal infections confirmed by amniocentesis, positive or not at echography

Prevalence of infection at birth

[1, 2, 4, 38, 42, 68, 69, 97, 98, 112, 121]

0.43%

0.20–0.61%

Min-max from European studies, vary with selection and tests

Proportion of infected newborns who are symptomatic

[2, 4, 88, 105, 106]

12.7%

NA

Do not include TOP, part of whom would have diedc

Proportion of infected newborns who are symptomatic born from mothers with immunity prior to pregnancy

[38, 39, 42, 105, 122]

12.7%

NA

Stable across studies

Incidence of hearing impairment between birth and 5 years among asymptomatic newborns with sequelae

[9]

53.0%

NA

 

Frequency of any sequelae in asymptomatic newborns

[4, 11, 12, 43, 98, 106, 123, 124]

13.3%

NA

 

Frequency of any severe sequelae in severe symptomatic newborns

[4, 9, 10, 19, 42, 43, 162, 163, 173]

47.0%

NA

Middle of value range

Frequency of any moderate sequela in severe symptomatic newborns

[4, 9, 19, 42, 43, 105, 106, 124]

25.0%

NA

Middle of value range

Frequency of any moderate sequela in moderately symptomatic newborns

[4, 9, 19, 42, 43, 105, 106, 124]

16.0%

NA

Middle of value range

Proportion of any severe symptomatic newborns without sequela

[105]

28.0%

NA

Middle of value range

Proportion of any moderately symptomatic newborns without sequela

[105]

51.0%

NA

Middle of value range

Frequency of any severe sequelae in moderately symptomatic newborns

[105]

33.0%

NA

Middle of value range

Proportion of any late sequelae among symptomatic newborns with sequelae

[105, 106, 125]

43.0%

NA

 

Sensitivity IgG

[126,127,128]

99.7%

 

Diasorin test; false negative women considered negatives, but MPI and consequences considered in truly infected women

Specificity IgG

[126,127,128]

99.4%

 

Abbott test; false positive women considered positives, but MPI and consequences considered in truly infected women

Sensitivity IgM

[128,129,130,131]

94.0%

79.4–95.9%a

Vidas, Beckman-Coulter, Diasorin, Roche, Siemen HC tests

Specificity IgM

[128,129,130,131,132]

99.3%

96.4–100%a

 

Sensitivity avidity of IgG

[23, 34, 36, 109, 131, 133,134,135,136,137,138,139,140,141,142]

83,0%

 

During first 12 weeks of pregnancy; applied when IgM positive

Specificity avidity of IgG

[23, 34, 133,134,135,136,137,138,139,140,141,142,143]

82,0%

 

During first 12 weeks of pregnancy; applied when IgM positive

Absolute reduction with hygiene

[63]

−50%

 

Group consensus on most plausible result

  1. MPI maternal primary infection; TOP termination of pregnancy; a Maximum values are point estimates from studies not providing confidence intervals; b, unknown, considered equal to previous line; NA: min-max not considered in robustness analyses; c Min = 0 from [4] disregarded by group as not plausible