Skip to main content

Table 3 Selection of the multivariate ARIMAX model

From: Forecasting incidence of hand, foot and mouth disease using BP neural networks in Jiangsu province, China

Model AIC BIC Ljung-Box test
Qa p
ARIMA+×5 1134.05 1144.43 10.679 0.4005
ARIMA+×6 1134.08 1144.47 10.274 0.4347
ARIMA+×7 1132.37 1142.76 10.982 0.3759
ARIMA+×8 1134.07 1144.45 10.272 0.4348
ARIMA+×5 + × 6 1135.97 1148.43 10.903 0.2985
ARIMA+×5 + × 7 1134.01 1146.47 10.406 0.3357
ARIMA+×5 + × 8 1135.97 1148.43 10.85 0.3023
ARIMA+×6 + ×7 1134.21 1146.68 11.149 0.2811
ARIMA+×6 + ×8 1136.06 1148.52 10.28 0.3456
ARIMA+×7 + ×8 1134.00 1146.46 11.144 0.2815
ARIMA+×5 + ×6 + ×7 1135.93 1150.48 10.502 0.2468
ARIMA+×5 + ×7 + ×8 1135.62 1150.16 10.325 0.2587
ARIMA+×5 + ×6 + ×8 1137.94 1152.49 10.926 0.2201
ARIMA+×6 + ×7 + ×8 1135.99 1150.53 11.157 0.2066
ARIMA+×5 + ×6 + ×7 + ×8 1137.61 1154.23 10.294 0.1861
  1. aQ denotes the statistics of Ljung-Box test