Evaluation of the trends in the incidence of infectious diseases using the syndromic surveillance system, early warning and response unit, Mongolia, from 2009 to 2017: a retrospective descriptive multi-year analytical study

Table 2 Forecasting models for infectious diseases syndromes in this study

Infectious diseases syndromes	Forecasting models
AFR	ARIMA(1,0,1)
AFVR	ARIMA(0,1,1,)(0,1,1)₁₂
AJ	ARIMA(0,1,1)(0,1,1)₁₂
AWD	ARIMA(1,1,1)(1,1,1)₁₂
ABD	ARIMA(1,1,1)(1,1,1)₁₂
FD	Additive seasonal exponential smoothing method
NI	Additive seasonal exponential smoothing method

AFR acute fever with rash, AFVR acute fever with vesicular rash, AJ acute jaundice, AWD acute watery diarrhea, ABD acute bloody diarrhea, FD foodborne disease, NI nosocomial infection, ARIMA Auto-Regressive Integrated Moving Average

ISSN: 1471-2334