Table 5 The actual and forecasted cases of human brucellosis in mainland China from January to December 2017 of the three models
Month | Actual values | ARIMA | Elman | Jordan |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Jan | 1874 | 2274 | 2148 | 2140 |
Feb | 2740 | 2390 | 2395 | 2399 |
Mar | 4055 | 4568 | 4211 | 4267 |
Apr | 4048 | 5530 | 5077 | 5376 |
May | 4539 | 6521 | 6085 | 5763 |
Jun | 5203 | 6721 | 4450 | 5175 |
Jul | 4742 | 6330 | 4873 | 4795 |
Aug | 4330 | 5228 | 4376 | 4421 |
Sep | 2781 | 3527 | 3478 | 3141 |
Oct | 1953 | 2448 | 2890 | 2269 |
Nov | 2427 | 2675 | 2489 | 2361 |
Dec | 2549 | 2819 | 2612 | 2337 |