Skip to main content

Table 1 Illustration of serotype specific properties implied by assumed model inputs [22, 49] in a population with an R0 of 10 for serotype 1 WPV

From: Planning for globally coordinated cessation of bivalent oral poliovirus vaccine: risks of non-synchronous cessation and unauthorized oral poliovirus vaccine use

Property

Virus (reversion stage in the model)

Serotype

1

2

3

Basic reproduction number (R0)

OPV parent strain (stage 0)

3.7

5.0

1.9

Partially-reverted OPV-related virus (stage 10)

7.0

7.1

4.8

Fully-reverted VDPV or WPV (stage 19)

10

9.0

7.5

Average time (days) to reach reversion stage

OPV parent strain (stage 0)

0

0

0

Partially-reverted OPV-related virus (stage 10)

327

215

327

Fully-reverted VDPV or WPV (stage 19)

620.5

408

620.5

  1. WPV wild poliovirus, OPV oral poliovirus vaccine, VDPV vaccine-derived poliovirus