Region | R0 | α | pd | κ | tr | POL3 | TC | Prm | poro | # tOPV SIAs in 2015 | Year of IPV introduction | Hypothetical switch date |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Analysis II: | ||||||||||||
Hypothetical population | 10 or 13 | 0 | NA | 0.35 | 0.6 | 0.3 | 0.8 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 2 | 2015 | Variable after last SIA in 2015 |
Analysis III: | ||||||||||||
Population like northern India | 13 | 0.2 | 180 | 0.35 | 0.6 | 0.3 | 2 | 2015 | ||||
- Pop. A, subpop. 0 (under-vacc.) | 0.3 | 0.8 | 0.7 | Mid-2015 | ||||||||
- Pop. A, subpop. 1 (general) | 0.6 | 0.95 | 0.5 | Mid-2015 | ||||||||
- Pop. B, subpop. 0 (under-vacc.) | 0.3 | 0.8 | 0.7 | April 1, 2016 | ||||||||
- Pop. B, subpop 1 (general) | 0.6 | 0.95 | 0.5 | April 1, 2016 | ||||||||
Population like northern Pakistan/Afghanistan | 11 | 0.2 | 180 | 0.35 | 0.65 | 0.3 | 2015 | |||||
- Pop. A, subpop. 0 (general) | 0.6 | 0.8 | 0.7 | 2 | Mid-2015 | |||||||
- Pop. A, subpop. 1 (general) | 0.6 | 0.8 | 0.7 | 2 | Mid-2015 | |||||||
- Pop. B, subpop. 0 (under-vacc.) | 0.1 | 0.35 | 0.95 | 3 | April 1, 2016 | |||||||
- Pop. B, subpop 1 (general) | 0.6 | 0.8 | 0.7 | 2 | April 1, 2016 | |||||||
Population like Ukraine | 6 | 0.4 | 180 | 0.45 | 0.74 | 0.8 | 0 | 2005 | ||||
- Pop. A, subpop. 0 (general) | 0.7a | 0.8 | 0.7 | Mid-2015 | ||||||||
- Pop. A, subpop. 1 (general) | 0.7a | 0.8 | 0.7 | Mid-2015 | ||||||||
- Pop. B, subpop. 0 (under-vacc.) | 0.3 a | 0.8 | 0.7 | April 1, 2016 | ||||||||
- Pop. B, subpop 1 (under-vacc. ) | 0.3a | 0.8 | 0.7 | April 1, 2016 |