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Table 1 Parameter estimation for plausible ARIMA modelsa

From: Prevalence of hemorrhagic fever with renal syndrome in Yiyuan County, China, 2005–2014

Parameter ARIMA (2, 1, 1) × (0, 1, 0)12 ARIMA (2, 1, 0) × (0, 1, 1)12 ARIMA (1, 1,1) × (1, 1, 1)12 ARIMA (2, 1, 1) × (0, 1, 1)12
B t P B t P B t P B t P
AR1,1 −0.479 −4.510 <0.001 −0.463 −4.740 <0.001 0.422 3.070 0.003 −0.458 −4.460 <0.001
AR2,1        0.449 1.800 0.075    
MA1,1 0.308 3.020 0.003     0.873 11.100 <0.001 0.275 2.650 0.009
MA2,1     0.375 3.580 <0.001 0.743 3.850 <0.001 0.314 2.910 0.005
  1. a AR1,1 = autoregressive parameter; AR2,1 = seasonal autoregressive parameter; MA1,1 = moving average parameter; MA2,1 = seasonal moving average parameter