Table 4 Simulated scenarios of MTCT rates of HIV in prevalent maternal population according to the fixed coverage of PMTCT services in Cameroon in 2011
100 % of PMTCT services coverage | ||
|---|---|---|
MTCT circumstances | Estimated number of incident paediatric infections [95 % Confidence Interval] | Estimated transmission rate (%) |
Perinatal rate (<6 weeks of age) | 165 [99–398] | 0.4 [0.2–1.1] |
Postnatal rate (>6 weeks of age to 24 months) | 149 [99–298] | 0.8 [0.5–1.6] |
Total | 316 [198–631] | 0.9 [0.5–1.7] |
90 % of PMTCT services coverage | ||
Perinatal rate (<6 weeks of age) | 509 [199–995] | 1.4 [0.5–2.8] |
Postnatal rate (>6 weeks of age to 24 months) | 205 [99–497] | 1.3 [0.5–3.0] |
Total | 711 [306–1, 187] | 2.0 [0.9–3.2] |
80 % of PMTCT services coverage | ||
Perinatal rate (<6 weeks of age) | 1, 150 [497–1, 891] | 3.3 [1.3–5.6] |
Postnatal rate (>6 weeks of age to 24 months) | 342 [99–696] | 2.1 [0.6–4.4] |
Total | 1, 505 [895–2, 354] | 4.3 [2.4–6.7] |