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Table 2 Estimated outcomes of disease and mortality by vaccination strategy

From: The health and economic impact of vaccination with 7-valent pneumococcal vaccine (PCV7) during an annual influenza epidemic and influenza pandemic in China

Parameter

Age group (Years)

 
 

0 - < 2

2 - 4

5 - 17

18 - 49

50 - 64

65+

Total

Non-pandemic year

       

Pneumococcal meningitis (Thousands)

       

  No Vaccination

0.3

0.3

43.0

37.5

5.5

7.3

94.0

  Vaccination

0.1

0.1

35.5

23.2

4.5

4.9

68.2

  Cases Avoided

0.3

0.2

7.5

14.4

1.0

2.5

25.8

Pneumococcal bacteremia (Thousands)

       

  No Vaccination

0.6

2.6

144.1

118.9

14.8

38.3

319.3

  Vaccination

0.1

0.7

118.9

73.4

12.2

25.5

230.8

  Cases Avoided

0.5

1.9

25.2

45.5

2.6

12.9

88.6

All-cause pneumonia (Thousands)

       

  No Vaccination

568.6

2090.1

1959.5

1166.0

713.1

3936.9

10434.2

  Vaccination

340.9

1531.3

1783.4

1026.1

648.9

3622.5

8953.1

  Cases Avoided

227.6

558.8

176.2

139.8

64.2

314.4

1481.1

All-cause otitis media (Thousands)

       

  No Vaccination

2972.6

12476.0

    

15448.6

  Vaccination

2285.9

9704.6

    

11990.5

  Cases Avoided

686.7

2771.4

    

3458.1

Deaths

       

  No Vaccination

27393

8479

22921

85581

46750

410341

601465

  Vaccination

16385

6156

20244

66622

42034

373311

524750

  Deaths Avoided

11008

2323

2677

18959

4717

37030

76714

Life Years (Millions)

       

  No Vaccination

1076.3

4194.8

19298.9

31151.6

3715.1

903.1

60339.7

  Vaccination

1077.2

4195.0

19299.1

31152.4

3715.2

903.4

60342.2

  Life Years Saved

0.9

0.2

0.2

0.8

0.1

0.3

2.5

QALYs (Millions)

       

  No Vaccination

983.7

3829.8

17368.9

26696.9

2998.1

722.4

52599.8

  Vaccination

984.6

3829.9

17369.1

26697.6

2998.2

722.7

52602.1

  QALYs Gained

0.8

0.2

0.2

0.7

0.1

0.3

2.2

Pandemic year

       

Pneumococcal meningitis (Thousands)

       

  No Vaccination

0.3

0.3

43.5

38.0

5.5

7.4

95.1

  Vaccination

0.1

0.1

35.9

23.4

4.6

4.9

69.0

  Cases Avoided

0.3

0.2

7.6

14.5

1.0

2.5

26.1

Pneumococcal bacteremia (Thousands)

       

  No Vaccination

3.7

38.3

6967.3

3541.4

216.6

841.1

11608.4

  Vaccination

0.7

9.8

5748.2

2186.7

179.0

558.9

8683.4

  Cases Avoided

2.9

28.5

1219.1

1354.7

37.6

282.2

2925.0

All-cause pneumonia (Thousands)

       

  No Vaccination

644.8

3096.9

3669.6

3332.9

855.9

3978.8

15578.8

  Vaccination

386.7

2270.8

3371.1

2947.3

779.2

3671.2

13426.3

  Cases Avoided

258.1

826.0

298.5

385.6

76.8

307.6

2152.5

All-cause otitis media (Thousands)

       

  No Vaccination

2986.2

12348.1

    

15334.3

  Vaccination

2302.9

9665.5

    

11968.4

  Cases Avoided

683.3

2682.6

    

3365.9

Deaths

       

  No Vaccination

314818

44700

779307

1170382

109165

758160

3176532

  Vaccination

187101

28401

652085

869387

95870

636163

2469006

  Deaths Avoided

127717

16300

127222

300995

13295

121997

707526

Life Years (Millions)

       

  No Vaccination

1053.2

4192.0

19249.4

31104.0

3713.7

900.1

60212.2

  Vaccination

1063.5

4193.2

19257.7

31117.2

3714.0

901.1

60246.7

  Life Years Saved

10.3

1.3

8.3

13.2

0.3

1.0

34.4

QALYs (Millions)

       

  No Vaccination

962.6

3827.2

17324.3

26656.0

2997.0

720.0

52487.1

  Vaccination

972.0

3828.4

17331.8

26667.4

2997.2

720.9

52517.6

  QALYs Gained

9.4

1.2

7.5

11.3

0.2

0.8

30.5