From: The impact of aggregating serogroups in dynamic models of Neisseria meningitidis transmission
Vaccine Program | Model Type | Serogroup | t = 149 | t = 160 | t = 175 | t = 190 | Relative Change |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | 2-strain model | C | 0.005 | 0.003 | 0.000 | 0.000 | −0.760 |
 | (0.012) | (0.007) | (0.000) | (0.000) | (0.427) | ||
Other | 0.109 | 0.108 | 0.107 | 0.108 | −0.009 | ||
 | (0.008) | (0.008) | (0.010) | (0.009) | (0.054) | ||
Total | 0.115 | 0.111 | 0.107 | 0.108 | −0.050 | ||
 | (0.020) | (0.015) | (0.011) | (0.009) | (0.068) | ||
4-strain model | B | 0.031 | 0.030 | 0.031 | 0.031 | 0.014 | |
 | (0.013) | (0.010) | (0.012) | (0.014) | (0.276) | ||
C | 0.013 | 0.008 | 0.000 | 0.000 | −0.960 | ||
 | (0.012) | (0.008) | (0.001) | (0.000) | (0.196) | ||
Other | 0.045 | 0.047 | 0.050 | 0.050 | 0.357 | ||
 | (0.028) | (0.026) | (0.021) | (0.022) | (0.860) | ||
 Nl | 0.025 | 0.025 | 0.025 | 0.025 | −0.011 | ||
 | (0.003) | (0.002) | (0.002) | (0.004) | (0.082) | ||
Total | 0.114 | 0.110 | 0.106 | 0.106 | −0.070 | ||
 | (0.056) | (0.047) | (0.036) | (0.039) | (0.102) | ||
2 | 2-strain model | C | 0.006 | 0.002 | 0.000 | 0.000 | −0.840 |
 | (0.011) | (0.004) | (0.000) | (0.000) | (0.367) | ||
Other | 0.108 | 0.110 | 0.108 | 0.107 | −0.007 | ||
 | (0.011) | (0.009) | (0.009) | (0.009) | (0.058) | ||
Total | 0.114 | 0.112 | 0.108 | 0.107 | −0.053 | ||
 | (0.022) | (0.013) | (0.010) | (0.009) | (0.073) | ||
4-strain model | B | 0.031 | 0.031 | 0.031 | 0.032 | 0.064 | |
 | (0.015) | (0.012) | (0.013) | (0.012) | (0.259) | ||
C | 0.015 | 0.006 | 0.000 | 0.000 | −1.00 | ||
 | (0.014) | (0.006) | (0.001) | (0.000) | (0.000) | ||
Other | 0.047 | 0.050 | 0.051 | 0.052 | 0.412 | ||
 | (0.030) | (0.027) | (0.022) | (0.020) | (1.643) | ||
Nl | 0.026 | 0.025 | 0.025 | 0.025 | −0.014 | ||
 | (0.003) | (0.002) | (0.003) | (0.003) | (0.078) | ||
Total | 0.118 | 0.112 | 0.107 | 0.108 | −0.076 | ||
 | (0.061) | (0.047) | (0.038) | (0.035) | (0.097) | ||
3 | 2-strain model | C | 0.007 | 0.001 | 0.000 | 0.000 | −0.840 |
 | (0.012) | (0.002) | (0.000) | (0.000) | (0.367) | ||
Other | 0.109 | 0.110 | 0.108 | 0.108 | −0.007 | ||
 | (0.011) | (0.030) | (0.010) | (0.010) | (0.060) | ||
Total | 0.116 | 0.111 | 0.108 | 0.108 | −0.063 | ||
 | (0.022) | (0.032) | (0.010) | (0.010) | (0.087) | ||
4-strain model | B | 0.031 | 0.034 | 0.032 | 0.031 | 0.064 | |
 | (0.015) | (0.017) | (0.016) | (0.013) | (0.259) | ||
C | 0.014 | 0.004 | 0.000 | 0.000 | −1.00 | ||
 | (0.010) | (0.007) | (0.001) | (0.000) | (0.000) | ||
Other | 0.046 | 0.044 | 0.048 | 0.052 | 0.412 | ||
 | (0.024) | (0.027) | (0.022) | (0.020) | (−0.004) | ||
Nl | 0.025 | 0.025 | 0.025 | 0.025 | −0.014 | ||
 | (0.002) | (0.003) | (0.002) | (0.003) | (0.078) | ||
Total | 0.115 | 0.108 | 0.105 | 0.108 | −0.061 | ||
 | (0.052) | (0.054) | (0.040) | (0.036) | (0.103) |