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Table 4 Comparison of the obtained tMRCA values from Bayesian analysis to estimated times of infection according to incidence algorithms for patients with a known source of infection

From: Bridging epidemiology with population genetics in a low incidence MSM-driven HIV-1 subtype B epidemic in Central Europe

  Cluster affiliation Incidence algorithm Full analysis Analysis based on cluster strains
    Mean Median 95% HPD Mean Median 95% HPD
Pair 1 Cluster 1 2009.0–2009.4 2008.5 2008.7 2007.5–2009.4 2008.8 2008.9 2008.0–2009.4
Pair 2 Cluster 5 2005.3–2005.7 2004.2 2004.4 2002.8–2005.5    
Trio Cluster 3 2005.0–2005.5 2004.1 2004.3 2002.8–2005.2    
  1. HPD = highest posterior density.