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Table 4 Comparison of the obtained tMRCA values from Bayesian analysis to estimated times of infection according to incidence algorithms for patients with a known source of infection

From: Bridging epidemiology with population genetics in a low incidence MSM-driven HIV-1 subtype B epidemic in Central Europe

 

Cluster affiliation

Incidence algorithm

Full analysis

Analysis based on cluster strains

   

Mean

Median

95% HPD

Mean

Median

95% HPD

Pair 1

Cluster 1

2009.0–2009.4

2008.5

2008.7

2007.5–2009.4

2008.8

2008.9

2008.0–2009.4

Pair 2

Cluster 5

2005.3–2005.7

2004.2

2004.4

2002.8–2005.5

   

Trio

Cluster 3

2005.0–2005.5

2004.1

2004.3

2002.8–2005.2

   
  1. HPD = highest posterior density.