Rainfall and sentinel chicken seroconversions predict human cases of Murray Valley encephalitis in the north of Western Australia

Table 2 Predictors of human cases by rainfall district and for combined districts

	Combined districts				District 20				District 30				Districts 40 and 50
	p	Odds	95% CI		p	Odds	95% CI		p	Odds	95% CI		p	Odds	95% CI
Model 1 – Chicken seroconversion rate as predictor
Rain_1	NS	-	-	-	NS	-	-	-	NS	-	-	-	0.006	1.111	1.031	1.196
Rain_2	<0.001	1.075	1.048	1.102	<0.001	1.113	1.056	1.174	0.004	1.090	1.027	1.157	0.012	1.110	1.024	1.204
Rain_3	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	0.038	1.075	1.004	1.151	-	-	-	-
Chick_1	<0.001	1.041	1.025	1.057	0.01	1.042	1.010	1.074	-	-	-	-	<0.001	1.052	1.029	1.077
Model 2 – Any chicken seroconversion as predictor
Rain_1	NS	-	-	-	NS	-	-	-	NS	-	-	-	0.002	1.112	1.041	1.189
Rain_2	<0.001	1.061	1.034	1.089	<0.001	1.127	1.071	1.187	0.001	1.102	1.039	1.168	-	-	-	-
Rain_3	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
AnySC_1	<0.001	10.125	3.712	27.612	-	-	-	-	0.016	13.715	1.636	114.984	0.001	13.891	2.751	70.144

ISSN: 1471-2334