Node

Category

Probability or proportion


Jurisdiction

ACT

0.016


NSW

0.330


NT

0.010


QLD

0.197


SA

0.076


TAS

0.024


VIC

0.248


WA

0.099

Age

<5 years
 

ACT

0.062


NSW

0.064


NT

0.082


QLD

0.066


SA

0.058


TAS

0.060


VIC

0.062


WA

0.064


5 to <15 years
 

ACT

0.129


NSW

0.134


NT

0.165


QLD

0.141


SA

0.128


TAS

0.137


VIC

0.131


WA

0.139

Proportion immune

Immune
 

<5 years

(0.85,0.91,0.95)^{†}


5 to <15 years

(0.81,0.87,0.91)^{†}


15+ years

(0.75,0.80,0.85)^{†}

Infection status

Infected

0.00001

Acute Flaccid Paralysis

Yes
 

<5 years

(0.001,0.005,0.01)^{†}


5 to <15 years

(0.005,0.01,0.02)^{†}


15+ years

(0.005,0.01,0.02)^{†}

Notified

Yes
 

ACT

Beta(1.3,61931.7)^{‡}


NSW

Beta(18.5,1298900.5)


NT

Beta(2.2,47604.8)^{‡}


QLD

Beta(11.3,806522.7)^{‡}


SA

Beta(2.7,280823.3)^{‡}


TAS

Beta(1.7,94022.3)^{‡}


VIC

Beta(6.2,950388.8)^{‡}


WA

Beta(2.7,396433.3)^{‡}

Stool sample

Yes
 

ACT

Beta(2,2)


NSW

Beta(23,84)


NT

Beta(1,8)


QLD

Beta(29,35)


SA

Beta(3,9)


TAS

Beta(2,4)


VIC

Beta(10,23)


WA

Beta(4,8)

Test

Positive

(0.95,0.97,0.99)^{†}


^{†}BetaPERT (Program Evaluation and Review Technique) distribution (lower, most likely, upper)

^{‡}Calculated as the ratio of this beta distribution divided by 10^{5}, with the result constrained to have an upper limit of 1.