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Table 1 Parameter estimates used in the scenario tree analysis of acute flaccid paralysis surveillance in Australia

From: An evaluation of the sensitivity of acute flaccid paralysis surveillance for poliovirus infection in Australia

Node Category Probability or proportion
Jurisdiction ACT 0.016
  NSW 0.330
  NT 0.010
  QLD 0.197
  SA 0.076
  TAS 0.024
  VIC 0.248
  WA 0.099
Age <5 years  
     ACT 0.062
     NSW 0.064
     NT 0.082
     QLD 0.066
     SA 0.058
     TAS 0.060
     VIC 0.062
     WA 0.064
  5 to <15 years  
     ACT 0.129
     NSW 0.134
     NT 0.165
     QLD 0.141
     SA 0.128
     TAS 0.137
     VIC 0.131
     WA 0.139
Proportion immune Immune  
     <5 years (0.85,0.91,0.95)
     5 to <15 years (0.81,0.87,0.91)
     15+ years (0.75,0.80,0.85)
Infection status Infected 0.00001
Acute Flaccid Paralysis Yes  
     <5 years (0.001,0.005,0.01)
     5 to <15 years (0.005,0.01,0.02)
     15+ years (0.005,0.01,0.02)
Notified Yes  
     ACT Beta(1.3,61931.7)
     NSW Beta(18.5,1298900.5)
     NT Beta(2.2,47604.8)
     QLD Beta(11.3,806522.7)
     SA Beta(2.7,280823.3)
     TAS Beta(1.7,94022.3)
     VIC Beta(6.2,950388.8)
     WA Beta(2.7,396433.3)
Stool sample Yes  
     ACT Beta(2,2)
     NSW Beta(23,84)
     NT Beta(1,8)
     QLD Beta(29,35)
     SA Beta(3,9)
     TAS Beta(2,4)
     VIC Beta(10,23)
     WA Beta(4,8)
Test Positive (0.95,0.97,0.99)
  1. Beta-PERT (Program Evaluation and Review Technique) distribution (lower, most likely, upper)
  2. Calculated as the ratio of this beta distribution divided by 10-5, with the result constrained to have an upper limit of 1.