Table 3 Predicted annual incidence of reported cases, with and without including the cohort effect in the dynamic model.
| Â | Average annual reported incidence (cases per 100,000 per year) | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|  | Over 20 years (2006–2025) | Over 50 years (2006–2055) | ||||||
| Â | Without cohort effect | With cohort effect | Without cohort effect | With cohort effect | ||||
Age Class | Vaccination | No vaccination | Vaccination | No vaccination | Vaccination | No vaccination | Vaccination | No vaccination |
0–4 | 6.4 | 10.3 | 5.6 | 7.9 | 6.2 | 10.3 | 5.4 | 7.6 |
5–9 | 7.0 | 21.8 | 6.2 | 16.9 | 5.8 | 21.8 | 5.1 | 16.3 |
10–19 | 6.9 | 13.8 | 5.9 | 10.3 | 5.0 | 13.8 | 4.3 | 10.0 |
20–29 | 9.4 | 14.8 | 7.8 | 10.6 | 6.6 | 14.8 | 5.5 | 10.2 |
30–39 | 10.1 | 16.1 | 8.3 | 11.3 | 8.1 | 16.1 | 6.5 | 10.8 |
40–59 | 7.0 | 11.3 | 4.8 | 6.7 | 6.3 | 11.3 | 4.7 | 7.0 |
60+ | 7.3 | 12.2 | 2.7 | 3.9 | 6.8 | 12.2 | 3.8 | 5.7 |
All Ages | 7.8 | 13.8 | 5.8 | 9.0 | 6.4 | 13.8 | 5.0 | 9.1 |