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Table 1 Factors affecting spatial heterogeneity in HFRS incidence in Changchun

From: Increasing incidence of hemorrhagic fever with renal syndrome could be associated with livestock husbandry in Changchun, Northeastern China

Period

Variable (unit)

Univariate analysis

Multivariate analysis

 

PC (95% CI)

P-value

PC (95% CI)

P-value

1988-1997

Livestock husbandry

    
 

  Large animals (10 h/km2)

60.5 (-68.9, 729.4)

0.572

-

-

 

  Sheep density (10 h/km2)

-41.3 (-81.6, 87.4)

0.368

-

-

 

  Deer density (10 h/km2)

154.6 (-2.6, 565.4)

0.057

NS.

NS.

 

Climate factors

    
 

  Temperature (1°C)

-74.6 (-95.6, 48.0)

0.128

-

-

 

  Precipitation (1 mm)

26.7 (2.3, 56.9)

0.030

NS.

NS.

 

  Relative humidity (%)

243.1 (136.3, 398.1)

< 0.001

243.1 (136.3, 398.1)

< 0.001

 

Land cover

    
 

  Irrigated cropland (1%)

16.7 (-2.0, 38.9)

0.084

NS.

NS.

 

  Rainfed cropland (1%)

-2.8 (-11.8, 7.0)

0.564

-

-

 

  Forest (1%)

4.5 (-4.4, 14.3)

0.332

-

-

 

  Grassland (1%)

-28.8 (-63.9, 40.4)

0.327

-

-

 

  Built-up lands (1%)

-25.2 (-54.0, 21.6)

0.242

-

-

1998-2012

Livestock husbandry

    
 

  Large animals (10 h/km2)

2.1 (-21.2, 32.3)

0.874

-

-

 

  Sheep density (10 h/km2)

-12.1 (-43.8, 37.4)

0.571

-

-

 

  Deer density (10 h/km2)

41.4 (30.2, 53.5)

< 0.001

41.4 (30.2, 53.5)

< 0.001

 

Climate factors

    
 

  Temperature (1°C)

7.7 (-87.6, 836.5)

0.947

-

-

 

  Precipitation (1 mm)

28.6 (7.8, 53.4)

0.005

NS.

NS.

 

  Relative humidity (%)

46.3 (-19.5, 165.7)

0.211

-

-

 

Land cover

    
 

  Irrigated cropland (1%)

6.4 (-7.7, 22.6)

0.392

-

-

 

  Rainfed cropland (1%)

-2.4 (-10.6, 6.5)

0.580

-

-

 

  Forest (1%)

4.4 (-4.4, 14.0)

0.342

-

-

 

  Grassland (1%)

-17.1 (-52.6, 45.0)

0.511

-

-

 

  Built-up lands (1%)

-3.5 (-15.2, 9.8)

0.591

-

-

  1. Poisson regression analysis results after correction for over-dispersion.