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Table 5 Seasonal incidence estimates of varicella cases per 1000 children 0-16 years of age in the area of Munich, by age group; a) minimum incidence estimate based on observed cases in paediatric practices, b) incidence estimate taking into account estimates on varicella cases from non-participating paediatric practices, general practitioners, and cases without physician consultation

From: Varicella routine vaccination and the effects on varicella epidemiology – results from the Bavarian Varicella Surveillance Project (BaVariPro), 2006-2011

Season

1

2

3

4

5

1-5

Surveillance period

Oct 06-Sep 07

Oct 07-Sep 08

Oct 08-Sep 09

Oct 09-Sep 10

Oct 10-Sep 11

Oct 06-Sep 11

a) Incidence /1000; based on observed numbers of cases in the participating practices (minimum incidence)

      

<1 year of age

      

- n

372

182

168

96

81

899

- incidence

23.4

10.9

9.8

5.6

4.7

10.7

1-4 years of age

      

- n

3494

2004

1652

845

737

8732

- incidence

58.7

33.2

26.7

13.3

11.4

28.2

5-9 years of age

      

- n

2039

1226

1273

752

554

5844

- incidence

29.9

18.0

18.6

10.9

7.8

16.9

10-16 years of age

      

- n

174

106

122

85

92

579

- incidence

1.9

1.2

1.3

0.9

1.0

1.3

<17 years of age (all cases)

      

- n

6079

3518

3215

1778

1464

16054

- incidence

26.0

14.9

13.5

7.4

6.0

13.4

b) Incidence /1000; corrected for cases from non-participating practices in the respective season*, cases from general practitioner practices#, and untreated cases§ (estimates)

      

<17 years of age (all cases)

      

- n

18244

11106

9667

5561

4710

49288

- incidence

78.1

47.1

40.6

23.0

19.2

41.3

  1. Data from BaVariPro Practice Surveillance, Oct 2006-Sep 2011.
  2. *: assuming that, on average, a participating and a non-participating paediatric practice contribute similar numbers of varicella cases in each season.
  3. #: assuming that cases from general practitioner practices represent approximately 35% of all varicella cases treated by a physician.
  4. §: assuming that, on average, untreated cases represent approximately 20% of all paediatric varicella cases in each season (Streng et al. [24]).