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Table 1 Median FPTs and FHPTs (in days) with confidence intervals (CI) at the baseline scenario

From: Modeling the impact of air, sea, and land travel restrictions supplemented by other interventions on the emergence of a new influenza pandemic virus

Control measure

Transportation

FPT (95% CI)

FHPT (95% CI)

No travel restriction

 

55 (35, 67)

90 (89, 92)

90% travel restriction

Air

62 (42, 72)

99 (97, 100)

 

Sea

56 (34, 67)

92 (90, 93)

 

Land

58 (44, 69)

93 (91, 95)

 

Air, Sea

66 (51, 77)

102 (101, 104)

 

Air, Land

69 (45, 81)

106 (104, 107)

 

Sea, Land

58 (30, 69)

95 (93, 96)

 

All transports

94 (88, 98)

114 (114, 115)

99% travel restriction

Air

61 (37, 72)

99 (97,101)

 

Sea

57 (28, 68)

92 (90, 94)

 

Land

59 (38, 69)

93 (92, 95)

 

Air, Sea

65 (39, 78)

104 (101, 105)

 

Air, Land

68 (49, 82)

107 (108, 110)

 

Sea, Land

59 (34, 70)

95 (93, 96)

 

All transports

117 (116, 118)

138 (138, 139)

  1. Travel restrictions took effect on the day after the first global case onset. The medians and the non-parametric 95% confidence intervals were obtained from 100 simulation runs.