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Table 1 Median FPTs and FHPTs (in days) with confidence intervals (CI) at the baseline scenario

From: Modeling the impact of air, sea, and land travel restrictions supplemented by other interventions on the emergence of a new influenza pandemic virus

Control measure Transportation FPT (95% CI) FHPT (95% CI)
No travel restriction   55 (35, 67) 90 (89, 92)
90% travel restriction Air 62 (42, 72) 99 (97, 100)
  Sea 56 (34, 67) 92 (90, 93)
  Land 58 (44, 69) 93 (91, 95)
  Air, Sea 66 (51, 77) 102 (101, 104)
  Air, Land 69 (45, 81) 106 (104, 107)
  Sea, Land 58 (30, 69) 95 (93, 96)
  All transports 94 (88, 98) 114 (114, 115)
99% travel restriction Air 61 (37, 72) 99 (97,101)
  Sea 57 (28, 68) 92 (90, 94)
  Land 59 (38, 69) 93 (92, 95)
  Air, Sea 65 (39, 78) 104 (101, 105)
  Air, Land 68 (49, 82) 107 (108, 110)
  Sea, Land 59 (34, 70) 95 (93, 96)
  All transports 117 (116, 118) 138 (138, 139)
  1. Travel restrictions took effect on the day after the first global case onset. The medians and the non-parametric 95% confidence intervals were obtained from 100 simulation runs.