Table 4 Projected reductions in HIV and STI incidence under different intervention scenarios (2021–2026)

Multi-session alcohol counselling

 With waning impact

1.2%

(0.0–2.5)

1.3%

(0.0–2.5)

1.2%

(0.0–2.4)

1.3%

(0.0–3.7)

1.3%

(0.0–3.4)

1.4

(0.0–3.7)

 No waning

1.2%

(0.0–2.2)

1.5%

(0.0–3.9)

1.1%

(0.0–1.7)

1.9%

(0.0–4.5)

1.9%

(0.0–4.5)

1.9%

(0.0–8.9)

Community-level gender transformative intervention

 With waning impact

3.2%

(0.8–7.2)

3.2%

(0.1–10.7)

3.2%

(0.3–9.4)

2.4%

(1.1–4.2)

2.2%

(1.0–3.8)

2.7%

(1.5–4.4)

 No waning

7.3%

(0.6–21.2)

4.3%

(0.1–14.9)

9.1%

(0.9–25.1)

6.4%

(1.2–15.2)

5.7%

(1.2–13.1)

7.5%

(1.1–19.4)

Individual-level gender ransformative intervention

 With waning impact

0.7%

(0.4–1.2)

0.3%

(0.0–1.1)

1.1%

(0.2–2.8)

0.6%

(0.3–1.2)

0.6%

(0.1–1.5)

0.7%

(0.2–1.7)

 No waning

2.4%

(0.2–6.9)

2.5%

(0.4–6.6)

2.2%

(0.2–6.5)

2.5%

(0.3–6.7)

2.1%

(0.3–5.5)

3.3%

(0.2–10.3)