Table 2 Results of main analyses and sensitivity analyses
From: Population seroprevalence of antibody to influenza A(H7N9) virus, Guangzhou, China
Main analysis | Sensitivity analysis | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Alternative models including 2 specimens with HI and neutralization titers ≥40 | Main model with alternative prior for cumulative incidence | Main model including three specimens with HI titers ≥40 | ||||
Model | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 1 |
Estimated overall cumulative incidence, θ (%) | 0.43 (0.05, 1.32) | 0.52 (0.06, 1.59) | 0.17 (0.02, 0.50) | 0.41 (0.06, 1.22) | 0.40 (0.06, 1.17) | 0.43 (0.05, 1.32) |
Estimated total number of infections | 55,385 (6503, 169,010) | 66,441 (7572, 204,113) | 21,638 (2910, 64,431) | 52,507 (7387, 156,391) | 51,644 (8091, 149,142) | 55,481 (6576, 168,665) |
ISR (per 10,000 infections) | 5.90 (0.84, 25.11) | 5.02 (0.69, 21.68) | 14.17 (2.17, 56.43) | 5.66 (0.90, 22.40) | 5.82 (1.00, 21.71) | 5.89 (0.83, 24.83) |
IFR (per 10,000 infections) | 4.07 (0.54, 17.41) | 3.45 (0.44, 15.13) | 9.75 (1.41, 39.48) | 3.89 (0.58, 15.69) | 4.11 (0.68, 15.68) | 4.06 (0.54, 17.49) |