Table 1 Results of estimates for βinf, with its 95% Confidence Intervals (c.i.) in parenthesis. Log likelihood values for each model and lag. Log likelihood values for the null-model were -1827.19 for Model 1 and -1816.85 for Model 2. The significant estimates of βinf are marked with (*) and (**).
From: Occurrence of invasive pneumococcal disease and number of excess cases due to influenza
Influenza parameter, βinf and its 95% c.i. | P-value | Log likelihood | AIC | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Model 1 | ||||
No lag | 0.05 (-0.05 – 0.15) | 0.36 | -1826.8 | 3665.5 |
1 week lag | 0.13 (0.03 – 0.23) | 0.012* | -1824.0 | 3660.0 |
2 weeks lag | 0.11 (0.01 – 0.21) | 0.029* | -1824.8 | 3661.6 |
3 weeks lag | 0.14 (0.04 – 0.24) | 0.005** | -1823.2 | 3658.3 |
4 weeks lag | 0.13 (0.03 – 0.22) | 0.008** | -1823.7 | 3659.3 |
Model 2 | ||||
No lag | 0.03 (-0.07 – 0.14) | 0.81 | -1816.8 | 3663.6 |
1 week lag | 0.105 (-0.001 – 0.211) | 0.051 | -1814.9 | 3659.9 |
2 weeks lag | 0.10 (-0.01 – 0.20) | 0.120 | -1815.6 | 3661.3 |
3 weeks lag | 0.13 (0.02 – 0.23) | 0.021* | -1814.2 | 3658.4 |
4 weeks lag | 0.11 (0.01 – 0.21) | 0.031* | -1814.5 | 3659.1 |