From: Updated projections of future vCJD deaths in the UK
vCJD case data alone
vCJD case data and prevalence data simultaneously
2003–2005
20 (3–70)
28 (4–72)
2003–2008
40 (8–138)
60 (9–152)
2003–2080
40 (9–540)
100 (10–2,600)
Fit of the model (-2LnL)
18.7
26.6
Goodness-of-fit p-value
0.29
0.32