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Table 2 Reproduction numbers from the 1957 influenza A/H2N2 pandemic

From: Estimates of the reproduction number for seasonal, pandemic, and zoonotic influenza: a systematic review of the literature

Location

Wavea

Study population

Mean GT/SIb

Reproduction number (R)

95% CIc

Basic or effective

Case definition

Reference

Year published

Netherlands

2nd

Community

3

1.39

 

Basic

Unconfirmed deaths

[38]

2010

United Kingdom

2nd

Community

2.6

1.70

 

Basic

Unconfirmed deaths

[10]

2006

United Kingdom

2nd

Community

3

1.5–1.6

 

Basic

Unconfirmed illness

[39]

2008

United Kingdom

2nd

Community

4

1.7–1.8

 

Basic

Unconfirmed illness

[39]

2008

United Kingdom

2nd

Community

4.1

1.50

 

Effective

Unconfirmed illness

[25]

2006

United Kingdom

2nd

Community

NR

1.65

 

Basic

Serology confirmed infection

[26]

2005

USA

2nd

Community

4

1.70

 

Basic

Unconfirmed illness

[40]

2004

Median reproduction number for the 1957 pandemic: 1.65; Interquartile range 1.53–1.70

  1. aThe 1957 influenza A/H2N2 pandemic began in February 1957 in southern China and spread to Singapore and Hong Kong in April [1]. The virus was first isolated in the United States in June 1957 and was associated with a mild first wave of illnesses [1, 41]. The peak of the pandemic occurred during the second wave in the Northern Hemisphere in October 1957 and was followed by a third wave in January 1958.
  2. bThe generation time (GT) or serial interval (SI) assumed in the reproduction number estimation.
  3. cConfidence interval.
  4. NR = Not reported.
  5. This table is also available as a .csv file as Additional file 2.