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Table 4 Cost effectiveness (cost per life years saved) of vaccination strategies for moderate pandemics (R = 1.9 and CFR = 0.25%) and severe pandemics (R = 2.7 and CFR = 1.5%)

From: A model-based economic analysis of pre-pandemic influenza vaccination cost-effectiveness

 

Moderate pandemics (R = 1.9 and CFR = 0.25%)

Scenarios

SD and AV intervention

Cost ($) per LYS

Pre-emptive vaccination

Reactive vaccination

Scenario 1: no pandemic occurs

none

-

-

 

Pre-emptive + Reactive vaccination

Reactive vaccination

Scenario 2: pandemic with virus which does not match pre-emptive vaccine i.e. vaccine efficacy of 0%

none

$1,627,500

$1,020,000

8 weeks SD + AV

$29,684

$20,079

Sustained SD + AV

$24,846

$19,074

 

Pre-emptive vaccination

Reactive vaccination

Scenario 3: pandemic with virus which matches pre-emptive vaccine with efficacy of 30%

none

$13,622

$1,020,000

8 weeks SD + AV

$12,096

$20,079

Sustained SD + AV

$15,897

$19,074

 

Pre-emptive

vaccination

Reactive vaccination

Scenario 4: pandemic with virus which matches pre-emptive vaccine with efficacy of 75%

none

$8,013

$1,020,000

8 weeks SD + AV

$10,435

$20,079

Sustained SD + AV

$13,658

$19,074

 

Extreme pandemics (R = 2.7 and CFR = 1.5%)

Scenarios

SD and AV intervention

Cost ($) per LYS

Pre-emptive vaccination

Reactive vaccination

Scenario 1: no pandemic occurs

none

-

-

 

Pre-emptive + Reactive vaccination

Reactive vaccination

Scenario 2: pandemic with virus which does not match pre-emptive vaccine i.e. vaccine efficacy of 0%

none

$1,942,222

$1,672,222

8 weeks SD + AV

$12,305

$10,312

Sustained SD + AV

$4,938

$4,044

 

Pre-emptive vaccination

Reactive vaccination

Scenario 3: pandemic with virus which matches pre-emptive vaccine with efficacy of 30%

none

$6,066

$1,672,222

8 weeks SD + AV

$3,097

$10,312

Sustained SD + AV

$2,811

$4,044

 

Pre-emptive vaccination

Reactive vaccination

Scenario 4: pandemic with virus which matches pre-emptive vaccine with efficacy of 75%

one

$1,075

$1,672,222

8 weeks SD + AV

$1,454

$10,312

Sustained SD + AV

$1,986

$4,044