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Table 1 Parameter estimates with 95% confidence interval (in parentheses) for the time-to-first malaria based on different univariable and multivariable shared frailty models

From: The effect of dams and seasons on malaria incidence and anopheles abundance in Ethiopia

Covariates

Univariable model

Multivariable models

  

HR‡(95% CI)

Adjusted HR (95% CI)

Distance

 

0.989(0.894, 1.093)

0.990(0.896, 1.093)

0.995(0.900, 1.100)

0.993(0.899,1.096)

Sex

Female(ref)

1.000

1.000

1.000

1.000

 

Male

0.951(0.803, 1.127)

0.952(0.804, 1.127)

0.952(0.804, 1.128)

0.952(0.804, 1.127)

Age

≤ 3 years(ref)

1.000

1.000

1.000

1.000

 

3 to 7 years

1.663 ∗(1.117, 2.474)

1.804 ∗∗(1.211, 2.687)

1.678 ∗(1.126, 2.500)

1.802 ∗∗(1.210, 2.685)

 

≥ 7 years

1.656 ∗(1.098, 2.498)

1.791 ∗∗(1.182, 2.713)

1.686 ∗(1.112, 2.554)

1.790 ∗∗(1.182, 2.712)

Year

Year 1(ref)

1.000

1.000

1.000

1.000

 

Year 2

0.991(0.837, 1.1756)

0.921(0.773, 1.097)

0.983(0.826, 1.170)

0.933(0.785, 1.110)

Mosquito density

 

1.006 ∗(1.001, 1.011)

0.997(0.992, 1.003)

1.006 ∗(1.001, 1.011)

 

Season

Dry season(ref)

1.000

1.000

 

1.000

 

Long rainy season

4.415 ∗∗(3.390, 5.750)

4.545 ∗∗(3.478, 5.938)

 

4.455 ∗∗(3.421, 5.802)

 

Short rainy season

2.182 ∗∗(1.580, 3.013)

2.178 ∗∗(1.576, 3.008)

 

2.174 ∗∗(1.574, 3.004)

  1. ∗Significant at P < 0.05, ∗∗ Significant at P < 0.01.
  2. †Hazard Ratio (HR): is an expression of the hazard or chance of infected with malaria in a particular category as a ratio of the hazard of the events occurring in the reference category. i.e. Estimates of hazard ratios correspond to the hazard of contracting malaria for a child divided by the hazard for a child in the reference category.