Table 1 Simulation input parameters
From: Finding and removing highly connected individuals using suboptimal vaccines
Population size | 100,000 individuals |
Index cases | 100 index cases |
Latency duration | 12 days (gamma distributed; C.V. = 18%) |
Prodromal fever duration | 3 days (constant) |
Early rash duration | 3 days (constant) |
Middle rash duration | 3 days (constant) |
Late rash duration | 16 days (constant) |
Observation duration | 21 days (constant) |
Case detection | unobserved cases: 2 days after onset of early rash (constant) observed cases: immediately after onset of prodromal fever |
Case isolation capacity | 500 units |
Contact tracing finds | 100% of close contacts 10% (maximum: 20 per case) of casual contacts |
Case isolation prevents | 100% of close contacts 100% of casual contacts |
Seclusion prevents | 50% of close contacts 100% of casual contacts |
Case fatality ratio | 30% (after early rash) |