Climatic variables | SARIMA (p,d,q) (P,D,Q) S model | AR1 | MA1 | SMA | Sd (residuals) | AIC | p-value (Ljung-box test) |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Accumulated rainfall | (1,1,1) (0,1,1) 52 | 0.154* | -0.980* | -1.00* | 0.85 | 942.78 | 0.32 (NS) |
Relative humidity | (1,1,1) (0,0,0) 52 | 0.207* | -0.632* | _ | 0.039 | -1320 | 0.307 (NS) |
Minimum temperature | (0,0,1) (0,1,1)52 | 0.249* | _ | -1.00* | 0.67 | 785.69 | 0.61 (NS) |
Maximun temperature | (1,1,1) (0,1,1) 52 | 0.439* | -0.918* | -1.00* | 0.473 | 576.63 | 0.566 (NS) |
Average temperature | (1,1,1) (0,1,1) 52 | 0.310* | -0.927* | -0.897* | 0.473 | 556.92 | 0.566 (NS) |