Table 2 Key parameters of 16 strategies, resurgence probability and the predicted cumulative number of cases under the corresponding strategies
Strategy | \({\varvec{\phi }}_{\varvec{k}}\)Â Â | \({\varvec{t}}_{\varvec{N}}\) | \({\varvec{\phi }}_{\varvec{k}}^{1}\varvec{,}\;{\varvec{\phi }}_{\varvec{k}}^{2}\) | \({\varvec{t}}_{\varvec{N}}^{1}\varvec{,}\;{\varvec{t}}_{\varvec{N}}^{2}\) | \({\varvec{\phi }}_{\varvec{c}}\) | \(\varvec{P}\) | \({\varvec{I}}_{\varvec{s}\varvec{u}\varvec{m}}\) | 95%CI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | 1 | 29 April | -- | -- | 0.26 | 0% | 98 | [92–104] |
2 | 1 | 16 May | -- | -- | 0.34 | 0% | 206 | [193–218] |
3 | 1 | 1 June | -- | -- | 0.41 | 0% | 257 | [242–272] |
4 | 1 | 1 June | -- | -- | 0.6 | 0% | 306 | [287–324] |
5 | 1 | 1 June | -- | -- | 0.8 | 0% | 386 | [363–410] |
6 | 1 | 1 June | -- | -- | 1 | 53% | 514 | [481–547] |
7 | -- | -- | 1, 2.85 | 1 June, 14 June | 0.6 | 0% | 277 | [261–294] |
8 | -- | -- | 1, 5.88 | 1 June, 14 June | 0.8 | 0% | 308 | [289–326] |
9 | -- | -- | 1, 8.92 | 1 June, 14 June | 1 | 18% | 350 | [328–371] |
10 | -- | -- | 1, 1.42 | 1 June, 28 June | 0.6 | 0% | 267 | [251–282] |
11 | -- | -- | 1, 2.94 | 1 June, 28 June | 0.8 | 0% | 280 | [263–297] |
12 | -- | -- | 1, 4.46 | 1 June, 28 June | 1 | 0% | 296 | [278–314] |
13 | 2 | 1 June | -- | -- | 0.57 | 0% | 648 | [608–688] |
14 | 3 | 1 June | -- | -- | 0.72 | 0% | 1604 | [1501–1707] |
15 | 4 | 1 June | -- | -- | 0.88 | 1% | 3928 | [3661–4194] |
16 | 5 | 31 May | -- | -- | 1.01 | 91% | 9607 | [8910–10,304] |