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Fig. 3 | BMC Infectious Diseases

Fig. 3

From: Twice evasions of Omicron variants explain the temporal patterns in six Asian and Oceanic countries

Fig. 3

Model simulated death vs. reported death with the assumption of two Omicron invasions and the rate of loss of immunity protection \(\psi =1/2\) in India (a), Indonesia (b), Malaysia (c), Bangladesh (d), Nepal (e) and Myanmar (f). The brown curve, green curve and blue curve at the top of each panel show the currently immunized people per capita, the number of persons who received a second dose per capita and the number of persons who received a booster dose per capita, respectively. The sudden drops in the brown curve demonstrate the immune evasion caused by two Omicron variant invasions. The red circles, black curve and blue curve with the plus sign at the bottom of each panel show the reported deaths, the simulation median and the transmission rate (in the unit of \({R}_{0}(t)=\beta (t)/\gamma\)), respectively. The grey region denotes the 95% CI of 1000 model simulations. The green circles that overlap the black curve are the reported deaths for testing part. The extra green circles are the reported deaths to show the COVID-19 pandemic trends. The percent on the top of each panel is the estimated maximum log-likelihood pre-Omicron IFR

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