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Table 3 Overall interrupted time series analysis using generalized linear negative binomial regression models adjusted for seasonality for various infectious diseases/syndromes as dependent variables and COVID-19 cases in thousands as an independent variable in various provinces/regions of Pakistan

From: Associations of the COVID-19 pandemic with the reported incidence of important endemic infectious disease agents and syndromes in Pakistan

 

Punjab

Sindh

Khyber Pakhtunkhwa

Balochistan

AJK & GBb

IRRa (95% CI)

p value

IRR (95% CI)

p value

IRR (95% CI)

p value

IRR (95% CI)

p value

IRR (95% CI)

p value

Acute upper respiratory infection

0.981 (0.979, 0.983)

 < 0.001

0.993 (0.992, 0.994)

 < 0.001

0.976 (0.970, 0.980)

 < 0.001

0.906 (0.878, 0.935)

 < 0.001

0.527 (0.509, 0.546)

 < 0.001

Pneumonia

0.979 (0.975, 0.983)

 < 0.001

0.987 (0.985, 0.988)

 < 0.001

0.962 (0.955, 0.968)

 < 0.001

0.895 (0.864, 0.928)

 < 0.001

0.474 (0.462, 0.487)

 < 0.001

Hepatitis

0.976 (0.972, 0.980)

 < 0.001

0.989 (0.987, 0.991)

 < 0.001

0.959 (0.952, 0.967)

 < 0.001

0.695 (0.636, 0.760)

 < 0.001

0.250 (0.217, 0.289)

 < 0.001

Diarrhea

0.984 (0.983, 0.986)

 < 0.001

0.992 (0.990, 0.993)

 < 0.001

0.975 (0.968, 0.982)

 < 0.001

0.903 (0.874, 0.934)

 < 0.001

0.521 (0.507, 0.536)

 < 0.001

Typhoid

0.985 (0.981, 0.988)

 < 0.001

0.994 (0.991, 0.996)

 < 0.001

0.959 (0.952, 0.965)

 < 0.001

0.956 (0.922, 0.990)

0.012

0.386 (0.365, 0.407)

 < 0.001

Malaria

0.979 (0.975, 0.983)

 < 0.001

0.991 (0.990, 0.992)

 < 0.001

1.000 (0.991, 1.010)

0.946

0.981 (0.940, 1.023)

0.369

0.268 (0.242, 0.298)

 < 0.001

Measles

0.955 (0.947, 0.963)

 < 0.001

0.951 (0.945, 0.958)

 < 0.001

0.941 (0.923, 0.959)

 < 0.001

0.875 (0.854, 0.896)

 < 0.001

0.278 (0.248, 0.311)

 < 0.001

Neonatal tetanus

0.943 (0.903, 0.985)

0.008

0.953 (0.917, 0.990)

0.014

0.980 (0.933, 1.030)

0.427

0.790 (0.597, 1.046)

0.099

0.851 (0.555, 1.304)

0.457

  1. aIncidence rate ratio
  2. bAzad Jammu & Kashmir & Gilgit Baltistan