Skip to main content
Fig. 1 | BMC Infectious Diseases

Fig. 1

From: Chimeric forecasting: combining probabilistic predictions from computational models and human judgment

Fig. 1

A A timeline of the six surveys that collected human judgment predictions from January to June of 2021, showing when surveys were open and closed (blue dashed lines), when computational predictions submitted to the COVID-19 Forecast Hub were due (black dashed line), human judgment predictions excluded in formal analysis (dark blue), for what week each forecast was made (red dash line), and the reported number of weekly incident COVID-19 cases at the US national level (black solid line). B Forecasts of weekly incident cases submitted to the COVID-19 Forecast Hub (orange) were formatted as seven quantiles, and we similarly formatted human judgment predictions from Metaculus (blue) and Good Judgment Open (red). C Forecasts of weekly incident deaths submitted to the COVID-19 Forecast Hub were formatted as twenty three quantiles and we formatted human judgment predictions the same. We collected more than 3000 original and revised human judgement predictions of incident cases and deaths of the spread of SARS-CoV-2 and burden of COVID-19 in the US

Back to article page