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Table 3 Prognostic determinants of LTFU among clients on ART in Gondar Town from October 2016 to April 2021

From: Development and validation of a risk prediction model for lost to follow-up among adults on active antiretroviral therapy in Ethiopia: a retrospective follow-up study

Prognostic variables

LTFU

Bi-variable

Multivariable

No

Yes

COR (95% CI)

AOR (95% CI)

Partner HIV status

 Known status

111

16

1

 

 Unknown status

210

95

3.14 (1.81–5.77)

 

Prophylaxis status

 Yes

244

37

1

1

 No

77

74

6.34 (3.99–10.23)

2.82 (1.58–5.03)**

ASM

 Not ASM

71

4

1

1

 ASM

250

107

7.59 (3.05–25.40)

4.92 (1.52–15.94)*

Adherence status

 Good

270

47

1

1

 Poor

51

64

7.21 (4.48–11.74)

3.07 (1.70–5.57)***

Date of ART initiation

 Same day

189

80

1

 

 Not same day

132

31

0.55 (0.35–0.89)

 

Marital status

 Married

146

25

1

 

 Unmarried

175

86

2.87 (1.75–4.72)

 

HIV disclosure status

 Yes

156

80

1

 

 No

165

31

0.37 (0.23–0.59)

 

BMI

 Underweight

89

23

1

1

 Normal

191

77

1.56 (0.92–2.65)

2.75 (1.43–5.30)

 Obese

41

11

1.04 (0.46–2.33)

 

Residence

 Urban

265

86

1

1

 Rural

56

25

1.44 (0.83–2.42)

2.20 (1.11–4.39)*

Care giver

 Yes

298

91

1

 

 No

23

20

2.84 (1.48–5.42)

 

HVL status

 Not HVL

253

29

1

1

 HVL

68

82

10.52 (6.45–17.59)

4.54 (2.43–8.47)***

  1. *** = Significant at p-value < 0.001, * = significant at p-value < 0.05
  2. COR Crude odds ratio, AOR adjusted odds ratio, CI confidence interval, LTFU lost to follow-up, ASM Appointment spacing model, TB tuberculosis, HIV human immunodeficiency virus, WHO World Health Organization, BMI Body Mass Index, ART antiretroviral therapy, OI opportunistic infection, HVL high viral load